Medicare Costs in Retirement: How Much Should You Budget?
A realistic Medicare retirement budget should include much more than the Medicare Part B premium.
Yes. A Roth conversion can increase your future Medicare Part B and Part D premiums because the taxable portion of the conversion generally increases adjusted gross income.
Medicare’s IRMAA surcharge is based on modified adjusted gross income.
Because Social Security normally looks back two tax years, a Roth conversion completed in 2026 could generally affect your 2028 Medicare premiums.
This doesn’t necessarily mean a Roth conversion is a bad idea. It means the potential Medicare cost should be included in your tax-planning decision.
When you convert pre-tax Traditional IRA or retirement money to a Roth account, the taxable portion of that conversion is generally included in gross income.
That can increase:
Adjusted Gross Income
which can increase:
Medicare MAGI
and potentially:
IRMAA.
A Simple Example
Suppose your normal Medicare MAGI would be:
$200,000
for a married couple.
You convert:
$100,000
from a Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA.
Assuming the full amount is taxable for illustration:
New MAGI could be approximately:
$300,000
That could move you into a higher IRMAA tier.
Why the Two-Year Lookback Matters
Suppose you complete a large Roth conversion in:
2026
Social Security normally uses 2026 tax information when setting:
2028 Medicare IRMAA.
So the Medicare impact may not appear immediately.
Not necessarily.
A conversion may still produce important long-term advantages, such as:
The right comparison is:
Short-term tax + IRMAA cost
versus
potential long-term benefit.
Suppose a conversion pushes your MAGI only slightly above an IRMAA threshold.
That additional dollar of income can place you into the next IRMAA tier.
Because each Medicare beneficiary in a married couple can owe IRMAA, the effect can be multiplied.
Roth Conversions Can Raise Your Medicare Premiums
I like Roth conversions as a retirement-planning tool.
But I don’t like doing them in a vacuum.
If you’re converting $100,000 or $200,000, I want someone looking at:
Federal tax
state tax
and
Medicare IRMAA
before deciding how much to convert.
Sometimes paying one or two years of higher Medicare premiums is worth the long-term tax benefit.
But it should be intentional—not a surprise two years later.
A realistic Medicare retirement budget should include much more than the Medicare Part B premium.
Selling your home can potentially increase future Medicare Part B and Part D premiums if the sale creates taxable income that pushes your modified adjusted gross income into a higher IRMAA bracket.
IRMAA stands for Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount. It's an additional amount certain higher-income Medicare bene…
Read More →IRMAA is an additional amount higher-income Medicare beneficiaries pay for Medicare Part B and Part D.
Read More →Social Security generally determines Medicare IRMAA using your modified adjusted gross income, or MAGI, from your federa…
Read More →Selling your home can potentially increase future Medicare Part B and Part D premiums if the sale creates taxable income…
Read More →If Social Security is charging you an IRMAA surcharge for Medicare Part B or Part D and your income has dropped because…
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