Medicare Costs in Retirement: How Much Should You Budget?
A realistic Medicare retirement budget should include much more than the Medicare Part B premium.
Social Security generally determines Medicare IRMAA using your modified adjusted gross income, or MAGI, from your federal tax return two years before the Medicare premium year.
For 2026 Medicare premiums, Social Security will therefore generally use your:
2024 tax information
For IRMAA purposes, MAGI generally consists of your adjusted gross income plus tax-exempt interest income.
For this purpose, SSA describes MAGI as:
Adjusted Gross Income
plus
Tax-Exempt Interest Income
On the current Form 1040, SSA identifies these as generally:
Line 11 — Adjusted Gross Income
plus
Line 2a — Tax-Exempt Interest
Example
Suppose your tax return shows:
Adjusted Gross Income:
$200,000
Tax-exempt interest:
$25,000
Your Medicare IRMAA MAGI would generally be:
$225,000
That is the amount compared with the applicable IRMAA income thresholds.
Why Does Medicare Look Back Two Years?
Social Security uses tax information supplied by the IRS.
The normal rule is to use the tax year two years before the premium year.
Therefore:
2026 Medicare premiums → generally 2024 tax information
2027 Medicare premiums → generally 2025 tax information
What Types of Income Can Affect MAGI?
Because many types of income flow into adjusted gross income, events such as these can potentially affect Medicare IRMAA:
Tax-exempt interest is then added for Medicare’s MAGI calculation.
A Roth conversion can increase adjusted gross income.
That means a large Roth conversion may potentially push you across an IRMAA threshold.
This doesn’t necessarily mean you shouldn’t do the conversion.
It means the potential Medicare cost should be part of the planning calculation.
If the tax return being used doesn’t reflect your current financial situation because of a qualifying life-changing event, you may be able to request a new IRMAA determination.
What Income Does Medicare Use for IRMAA?
IRMAA is one reason Medicare and retirement tax planning need to talk to each other.
A financial decision can be good for income taxes but still create an additional Medicare cost.
For example, suppose you’re right below an IRMAA threshold and you’re considering a large Roth conversion.
I’m not saying don’t do it.
I’m saying:
Know the Medicare consequence before you do it.
Sometimes paying IRMAA is still worth it to accomplish a larger financial objective.
The mistake is being surprised by it two years later.
A realistic Medicare retirement budget should include much more than the Medicare Part B premium.
Yes. A Roth conversion can increase your future Medicare Part B and Part D premiums because the taxable portion of the conversion generally increases adjusted gross income.
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